Title Details

Acknowledgments.

PART I: FUNDAMENTALS OF RISK MODELING, ASSESSMENT, AND MANAGEMENT.

1. The Art and Science of Systems and Risk Analysis.

2. The Role of Modeling in the Risk Analysis Process.

3. Identifying Risk Through Hierarchical Holographic Modeling.

4. Decision Analysis.

5. Multiobjective Trade-Off Analysis.

6. Defining Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis.

7. Risk Filtering, Ranking, and Management.

PART II: ADVANCES IN RISK MODELING, ASSESSMENT, AND MANAGEMENT.

8. Risk of Extreme Events and the Fallacy of Expected Value.

9. Multiobjective Decision-Tree Analysis.

10. Multiobjective Risk Impact Analysis Method.

11. Statistics of Extremes: Extension of the PMRM.

12. Bayesian Analysis and the Prediction of Chemical Carcinogenicity.

13. Fault Trees.

14. Multiobjective Statistical Method.

15. Principles and Guidelines for Project Risk Management.

16. Applying Risk Analysis to Space Missions.

17. Risk Modeling, Assess ment, and Management of Terrorism.

18. Case Studies.

Appendix: Optimization Techniques.

Index.

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