Why Flip a Coin? The Art and Science of Good Decisions
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More About This Title Why Flip a Coin? The Art and Science of Good Decisions
English
H. W. LEWIS, Professor Emeritus of Physics at the University of California, Santa Barbara, received the 1991 American Institute of Physics Science Writing Award for Technological Risk. He is a member of the Defense Science Board and the President's Nuclear Safety Oversight Committee.
English
Introduction vii
1 Basics: The First Cut 1
2 The Dating Game 4
3 Probability 12
4 Gains and Losses 23
5 Putting It All Together 31
6 Stability: The Social Island 42
7 The Prisoners’ Dilemma 48
8 Competitive Games 52
9 A Paradox 61
10 Rankings 67
11 Voting 73
12 Impossibility 83
13 Protecting the Future 89
14 Public Decisions 96
15 Apportionment 115
16 War: Lanchester’s Law 124
17 Fluctuations and Regression 131
18 Investing: The Stock Market 137
19 Gambling 150
20 Sports – Mainly Baseball 160
21 The Lady or the Tiger? 171
22 Law and Juries 178
23 Intro Redux 196
Index 199
